THE FUTURE OF FINANCES AND DEMOGRAPHICS

What might Poland look likein 30 years?

Compare GUS population projections with transparent debt scenarios. Explore hypothetical per-person figures and distinguish official data from model assumptions.

GUS SCENARIOS

How many people will live in Poland?

Explore 20 years of Eurostat observations and the subsequent GUS population projection. Historical measurements are kept separate from forecasts.

Poland’s population · last 20 years and projections to 2060

Three variants of the official demographic projection

◌ GUS projection

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The GUS projection is about population, not public debt. All three variants refer to Poland’s population on 31 December of each year.

Debt, GDP and population — what if?

A model to illustrate consequences, not predict future government decisions

◌ Hypothetical model
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No verified forecast of servicing costs for total EDP debt is available. Without interest rates, maturity dates and debt structure, we do not calculate future interest expenses.

What are Polish local governments planning?

Totals from multi-year financial plans of local governments reporting figures in a given year. Separate from national debt and our scenarios.

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These totals are not consolidated. The number of reporting local governments can vary by year. Planned balances are neither actual execution nor forecasts of EDP debt.

View your municipality’s plans →